Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2020

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Wed Nov 27 16:00:34 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But regional identity is complex. The major region (e.g. the Midwest) the sub-region (e.g. the Great Lakes) and whether two states share a border all tell you something about how a candidate is likely to perform. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW although these regions might seem hopelessly subjective, they actually have predictive power for how well candidates perform in given states in the primaries. (That's why I've been working on them.) There is definitely a "home region" advantage. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure which of these to believe right now: A. The critiques that the left is making of Buttiegieg will resonate once voters start hearing more about them OR B. The critiques that the left is making of Buttigieg clearly aren't working and may in some cases be backfiring — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2019 Hibernated