Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 26, 2020

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Tue Nov 26 20:40:26 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @mattyglesias I mean I think the question of which averaging/smoothing method is best is quite empirically testable. I don't really know how to answer it *without* answering it empirically. And I do think it's a worthwhile debate... can make quite a bit of difference in the primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Warren still leads on the question of who has the best policy ideas, but her support has fallen from 40% to 23% on that question. The ideologically vague "I've got a plan for that" messaging was working but may have been derailed by health care, etc. https://t.co/1rpiEz4bzw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

538 national polling average with Quinnipiac & other new national polls included. Biden 26.1 Warren 17.3 Sanders: 16.6 Buttigieg: 9.2 Harris 4.0 Yang 2.8 Bloomberg 2.4 Klobuchar 2.1 Gabbard 1.7 Booker 1.6 Castro 1.0 Steyer 1.0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 26, 2019 Hibernated