Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Mon Nov 25 20:59:26 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

IA: Buttigieg 21.6 Sanders 18.4 Biden 17.5 Warren 15.9 NH: Biden 20.0 Warren 18.0 Sanders 17.0 Buttigieg 15.0 NV: Biden 27.6 Sanders 19.3 Warren 18.6 Buttigieg 7.3 SC: Biden 37.6 Sanders 12.8 Warren 11.9 Buttigieg 5.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, we're working on polling averages that account for house effects, weight polls based on quality, are pretty sophisticated about differentiating signal v. noise, etc. Here's what they'd say right now: National: Biden 26.9 Warren 19.7 Sanders 16.7 Buttigieg 7.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If these numbers seem a little bearish on Warren, it's because our state poll averages are adjusted for changes in our national polling average. And Warren has fallen a few points nationally, which impacts her numbers in states (e.g. NV/SC) that haven't been polled much lately. — PolitiTweet.org

IA: Buttigieg 21.6 Sanders 18.4 Biden 17.5 Warren 15.9 NH: Biden 20.0 Warren 18.0 Sanders 17.0 Buttigieg 15.0 N… https://t.co/Mm8bymCcuO

Posted Nov. 25, 2019 Hibernated