Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Sat Nov 23 15:14:45 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While we don't know exactly how this is going to turn out, outcomes such as "spent $350m on ads, and got 6 delegates in Connecticut and 1 in the Virgin Islands" are in the thick range of the probability distribution for Bloomberg. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

…and (1b) Bloomberg in particular has a lot of factors working against him (too moderate, too old, D voters don't want him, getting in too late, won't be in debates, little support among black voters) that make his campaign unlikely to be a runaway success, to put it mildly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Reminder: There's never really been any evidence that the Trump campaign's digital ad targeting on Facebook was either an important factor in the campaign or was terribly effective. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2019 Hibernated