Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Fri Nov 22 16:09:50 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Observation: political prediction markets are getting persistently stupider as the political priors/preferences of market participants become increasingly correlated with one another and with the mainstream media's priors. — PolitiTweet.org

This fits with @jbarro's argument that Biden is the Democratic Trump, because he's popular with the base, and unpop… https://t.co/i3qUIJqGpu

Posted Nov. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is some pretty good company for Luka Doncic atop the RAPTOR leaderboard: https://t.co/uKS6KENaGJ https://t.co/w0odOMYQES — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 21, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It looks from this as though assumptions about ideological "lanes" are mostly correct in Iowa, where the position of the top 6 candidates from left to right is Bernie - Warren - Harris - Buttigieg - Klobuchar - Biden — PolitiTweet.org

Very interesting @Civiqs crosstab in new IA Dem caucus poll for @IowaStateU: 2nd-choice vote tabulated by 1st choic… https://t.co/YUI81gLOib

Posted Nov. 22, 2019 Hibernated