Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2020

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Wed Nov 20 17:11:45 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @aedwardslevy: the trifecta of unreliability: on my way i'll be there in 5! i'll venmo u back later! yeah let's def get coffee! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

NERD QUESTION: If a candidate was at 10% in the polls 30 days *ago* and he's at 15% *today*—assume there's enough data that we're pretty sure this is a real change—what do you think the best rough characterization is for where he'll most likely be in the polls 30 days *from* now? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I like this but my twist would be to make *all* shooting fouls worth a single 2-point free throw, including "and ones" on made baskets. Since fouls are more common on 2-pointers than 3-pointers, that would further increase the expected value of 2's relative to 3's. — PolitiTweet.org

Today's column: Get rid of the three-shot foul. https://t.co/HvMSOU0s0i

Posted Nov. 20, 2019 Hibernated