Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2020

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Mon Nov 18 14:49:44 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The candidate who makes a contested convention more likely is not Bloomberg but Buttigieg, since he seems to draw fairly evenly from the Warren and Biden coalitions. (But not particularly the Sanders coalition. In fact he may help Bernie by lowering Warren & Biden's numbers.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is a good article but I continue to be amazed by the gap between Bloomberg's terrible early polling—a negative 39 (!!!!!!) net favorability rating in the Selzer/DMR Iowa poll—and the insider conventional wisdom that he'll somehow be a big factor. https://t.co/IWFivTImQy https://t.co/kGlmOe9t8G — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're talking about Buttigieg on the podcast today so was doing some research and thought this was interesting. This is views on gay marriage based on the race of the voter *and whether they voted in the 2016 Democratic primary* or not. Per the 2016 CCES. https://t.co/fd8t6my5RH — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2019 Hibernated