Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 15, 2020

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Mon Nov 11 20:33:41 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is, I think Biden and Warren are still ahead of the rest of the field ... but it's a somewhat blurry line between them and Sanders (and Buttigieg, who I have just below Sanders). Then there's a much clearer divide between the top 4 and the rest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I haven't been updating my presidential tiers lately because we're working on stuff that's going to be much more quantitative (i.e. better). But FWIW, I still see the race roughly like this, which is not that much changed over the past month or so: https://t.co/SVO593m2vd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think I'd actually take Klobuchar > Harris at this point if forced to pick, just because she's stronger in Iowa. But that whole tier 3a⁠—Klobuchar, Harris, Booker⁠—is interesting to me. All of them seem like more plausible nominees than Bloomberg, say. — PolitiTweet.org

What we the odds three months ago that Klobuchar and Harris would be in the same tier? And that it would be impossi… https://t.co/2jg2knqety

Posted Nov. 11, 2019 Hibernated