Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 14, 2020

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Fri Nov 08 23:07:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Furious debate in 538 Slack right now about whether this step alone is sufficient to count as "Michael Bloomberg is running for president". — PolitiTweet.org

BREAKING: Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg qualifies for Democratic presidential primary in Alabama ne… https://t.co/zTrHDsevjH

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pretty hard to take this campaign seriously if Bloomberg isn't "contesting" the first 4 states (where not "contesting" often means "we know we're going to lose them so we hope the media will just ignore that"). — PolitiTweet.org

Bloomberg will not contest first four states in Democratic nominating process. "If we run, we are confident we can… https://t.co/qIe58Qxa42

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Tom Steyer has spent ~$45 million on advertising in the early states, which mostly are fairly cheap to advertise in, and it got him to around 2-3% of the vote. Not quite a randomized control trial, but some pretty compelling data that advertising only moves the needle so far. — PolitiTweet.org

By Super Tuesday, the field will be smaller, the candidates who’ve made it through will be more weathered and the r… https://t.co/wRQmo1HnmQ

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated