Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 14, 2020

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Fri Nov 08 18:46:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias That's fair. I'm just saying it's complicated. The one candidate whose supporters might seem to be aligned with Bloomberg on several different dimensions is Mayor Pete. (Well, and Steyer, who is at ~3% in Iowa/NH). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you look at polling or talk to actual, real voters, you'll find a lot of them aren't terribly ideological at all, and certainly not in the sense that the DC/NYC bubble thinks about ideology. Therefore, demographics often predict voting as well or better than ideological lanes. — PolitiTweet.org

so you think the guy who is getting into the race because @ewarren is a crazy socialist who shouldn't get the nomin… https://t.co/Dw6TdGKOrH

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias Like the prior is something like: Bloomberg polls at 4%, of which 1.0% comes from Buttigieg, 1.0% from Biden, 0.6% from Warren, 0.6% from Steyer, 0.3% from Sanders, and 0.5% from "others", or something of that nature, which would amount to a very minor impact obviously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated