Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2020

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Wed Nov 06 11:41:11 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the third hand, off-year gubernatorial elections are simply not very reliable indications of the national political environment, especially in a politically idiosyncratic state like Kentucky. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Feel like there are competing layers of not-so-good takes on #KYGov. On the one hand, a narrow Bevin loss shouldn't be interpreted very differently from a narrow Bevin win. On the other hand, given KY's redness, a narrow Bevin win would also have been a poor result for the GOP. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I mean it's clearly not a *good* result for the GOP. But I don't think it tells us much that Trump's low approval/the generic ballot etc. don't. Maybe it would very very mildly shift my priors on McConnell. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2019 Hibernated