Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2020

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Tue Nov 05 14:03:10 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AdamSerwer I think you may be overrating how rational it is... there are certainly reasons for Democrats to be concerned about the Electoral College... but there's also a sort of reverse motivated reasoning that also has people looking for reasons to freak out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a certain type of Democrat I talk to who seems determined not to get their hopes up that Trump will lose, which is an understandable reaction. But sometimes that morphs into a belief that it's savvy to think Trump will win/naive to think he *could* lose, when it isn't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I don't know if there's any hard and fast mathematical limit but to some extent if Ds are really underperforming among the white working class thay necessarily means they must be overperforming among everyone else, which could start to put states like TX and GA in play. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated