Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 15:50:09 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @aedwardslevy: *whispers* polls are a good way of knowing what people outside your immediate social circles actually think about those… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When Biden leads by 9 or 10 and Warren/Bernie lead by 6 or 7, nobody notices much. But when Biden leads by 1 or 2 and Warren/Bernie *trail* by 1 or 2, it looks huge! It's actually the same ~2-3 point gap though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On the electability stuff, I have complicated priors: 1) It's WAY too early to pay much attention to general election polls. BUT: 2) There's reasonably good evidence, other things equal, that candidates perceived as moderates over-perform ones perceived as too left/right wing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated