Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Mon Nov 04 13:40:37 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The differences between Biden's performance vs Trump and Warren/Bernie's is about the same in those Upshot state polls as in most other polls this year. It looks a lot bigger because, in most other polls, all the leading Dems have big leads, and they don't in the Upshot polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbouie @ThePlumLineGS Well, I'd certainly hope people think Trump being reelected is well within the range of possibility. Also well within the range of possibility is the Democrat winning by a tenuous, skin-of-her-teeth Electroal College margin. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

When Biden leads by 9 or 10 and Warren/Bernie lead by 6 or 7, nobody notices much. But when Biden leads by 1 or 2 and Warren/Bernie *trail* by 1 or 2, it looks huge! It's actually the same ~2-3 point gap though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2019 Hibernated