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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

Created

Fri Nov 01 22:10:24 +0000 2019

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6

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson @akaashkolluri Yeah, that is fair. His fundraising start was pretty good and he got a bit of a polling bounce! So that cuts against timing arguments a bit. Maybe if he had looked very formidable at the start, he could have deterred some others from running. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another fairly obvious lesson: strike while the iron is hot. If Beto immediately announces a run in Nov/Dec to capitalize on Democrats' happy feelings about the 2018 midterms, maybe* things would have unfolded differently. * OK probably not, but there's a lot of path-dependancy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And even the Obama coalition, college-educated and/or young white liberals + African Americans, while a very powerful combination, was only ~51% of the Democratic primary electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende

@SteveKornacki Someone made a comment yesterday that he's like Obama which is probably true if you take out the Afr… https://t.co/6pea7pglnL

Posted Nov. 2, 2019 Hibernated

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