Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Fri Nov 01 14:10:51 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@allahpundit Not much of a voter vs. adults gap at this point. His numbers have looked pretty decent in Wisconsin, though! Clearly if we were just talking about a popular vote, we could have more of the "it's early, but..." conversation. https://t.co/9cVjj8v9uN https://t.co/JuFLusiy7X — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At some point you have to ask: 1) Is 41-42% approval enough for Trump to win re-election? 2) If not, then what are the scenarios under which his approval becomes meaningfully higher, given that little seems to move his numbers? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. 1) is not meant as a rhetorical question. He won in 2016 despite being equally if not more unpopular based on a combination of a) the Electoral College; b) voters really disliking HRC also; c) voters who disliked both HRC & Trump voting Trump; d) polls being slightly off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated