Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Wed Oct 30 19:09:07 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* Except Buttigieg, for whom this is a pretty good result. But for Buttigieg, I really want to see him break through his previous highs from the late spring, because the coalition he's chasing (white, college-edu, not-super-liberal Dems) isn't terribly broad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Fun" part about this poll is that it gives every candidate something to be unhappy about. Everyone* is either 1) Losing ground since the last edition of the poll (Biden); 2) Getting less than in most other recent polls (Warren, Bernie) 3) Polling in the low-mid single digits. — PolitiTweet.org

USA Today/Suffolk national poll 2020 Democrats Biden 26% (-6 since August) Warren 17% (+3) Sanders 13% (+1) Butti… https://t.co/qZBNnJ4Xps

Posted Oct. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another wrinkle to this: There are, in every Democratic primary, some voters (5-10% of the electorate?) who hate Democrats, since indies and R's can vote in many primaries, plus some nominal D's who always vote R now but never changed their registration. https://t.co/4q7prvXUns — PolitiTweet.org

The (anti-) Hillary bounce. The only available explanation.... https://t.co/b7PzDyvg8B

Posted Oct. 30, 2019 Hibernated