Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

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Mon Oct 28 14:45:20 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrisgeidner You're introducing all sort of assumptions that don't match either the theory or the evidence. Our goal is to figure out what a candidate's numbers look like in the steady state, i.e. not after major news events. In the steady state, Biden's numbers have been pretty darn steady. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrisgeidner All the candidates I just mentioned did! Bernie, Beto, Harris. Certain news events produce predictable bounces in the polls. You're one of those folks who would have expected Mondale to become president in '84, when he was briefly tied with Reagan amid his convention bounce! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@OsitaNwanevu What do you mean "he should not be allowed"? He should not be allowed it by journalists like yourself? Also, it's not about a "single good PR day". It's about acknowledging something very good for the US that just happened under his watch. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2019 Hibernated