Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 9, 2020

Created

Sun Oct 27 18:34:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People think you're a contrarian if you're only like .6 correlated with the conventional wisdom because most people are a .9. (This is a very #OnBrand tweet). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview Yes in Iowa, but that's not clear in the other states, where he's down relative to this peak numbers shortly after his launch but fairly consistent with how he's polled otherwise. And in Iowa, all of the frontrunners are underperforming a bit because of Pete, Klob, Steyer, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbview I mean, some of this is how much depth you want to go into. *To a first approximation*, Biden's position in the polls has been fairly steady and the media perception mostly misses that. To a 2nd approximation, there are certainly vulnerabilities in his #'s beneath the surface. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2019 Hibernated