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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 4, 2020

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Sat Oct 19 15:07:16 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean, you could have written a similar story, but I think it would have been wrong. Those events weren't piling on top of one another in the way these are, and Ukraine and Syria aren't one-off stories where Trump can just reverse course and undo the damage. — PolitiTweet.org

Benjy Sarlin @BenjySarlin

I would just note there have been points where you could have written a similar story — there were rebellions over… https://t.co/EOiS0XLSLx

Posted Oct. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Wrote this 2 years ago on how one might go about analyzing the chances of impeachment & removal. Trump still has some protections: Congress is very partisan; he retains high approval among GOP voters. But many of these indicators have turned south for him. https://t.co/QlTLWFkPbT https://t.co/U0krAtTcpZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin I mean, some of this just comes down to news judgment, i.e. it's inherently subjective. But in my news judgement, these past few weeks have been a *lot* worse for Trump than anything we've seen before, in terms of the GOP breaking with him and along other dimensions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2019 Hibernated