Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Wed Oct 02 15:55:04 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

....it's at least becoming a real argument about whether Warren has caught Biden nationally. She hasn't in the poll averages and there's still a bit of cherry-picking going on. But we're talking about several polls that show her tied/ahead and no longer just 1 or 2 "outliers". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Monmouth has generally been a good poll for Warren; a lot of the differences from poll to poll seem to have to do with how well-informed and well-educated pollsters consider their likely voter universe to be. Still.... — PolitiTweet.org

NATIONAL POLL: #2020Dem preference: 28% @EWarren 25% @JoeBiden 15% @BernieSanders 5% @PeteButtigieg 5%… https://t.co/38KHUSMGns

Posted Oct. 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In most of these polls, Warren is gaining ground more than Biden is losing ground. (In a couple of them Biden is gaining also, though he's losing ground in others.) So the narrative of a Warren surge (sort of a slow-motion surge) is more robust than a Biden slump. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2019 Hibernated