Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Mon Sep 30 22:22:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's this perception that the sky is falling for Biden when basically he's gone from 30 percent to 28 percent in the polling averages. Doesn't necessarily mean he's the most likely to win the nom (Warren has a good argument) but the CW is fairly askew on how Biden's doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The two new primary polls out this afternoon don't show any negative fallout for Biden in the D primary from the Ukraine story. The other poll (from HarrisX) actually has him gaining a couple of points, in fact. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW Democratic primary tracking data is now live: Biden: 32% Warren: 21% (+1) Sanders: 19% Harris: 6% Buttigieg:… https://t.co/xdeyHZMfGp

Posted Sept. 30, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanMcElwee Warren has clearly had a very good few weeks in the polls, but it doesn't particularly seem to have come at Biden's expense. Probably a little bit of Biden, a little bit of Bernie (more so in the early states), and quite a lot of Harris, et. al. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2019 Hibernated