Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2020

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Sun Sep 29 16:46:44 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That is to say, the initial movement was caused *mostly* by Dems coming out in favor of impeachment. Whereas the later movement was caused *mostly* by the facts of the case being bad for Trump and becoming more well-known after the "transcript" and whistleblower dossier. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It kinda seems like the initial movement in impeachment polls (i.e. polls from the middle of last week) was mostly among Dems while the newer polls (Friday/this weekend) also show pro-impeachment shifts among indies and sometimes Rs. Which makes sense given how the story tracked. — PolitiTweet.org

CBS published a Monmouth poll on Aug 22 that found 41% of Americans supported an impeachment inquiry (72% Ds, 39% I… https://t.co/e60IJ2TqDi

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jeffhauser Yep, I think there's a huge gap between "strong likelihood/appearance of impropriety" and "Trump caught red-handed in a transcript released by the White House!". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated