Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Sun Sep 29 13:07:05 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And that's assuming that small sample sizes are the only problem with estimating support among black or Hispanic Democrats, which they aren't. Getting truly representative samples of black or Hispanic voters can be a challenging problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Folks, the margins of error in individual state & national primary polls on support among black voters, or Hispanics, are often very high (e.g. around +/- 10%). That why a candidate can be at 19% in one poll and 5% in another or whatever. People can make too much of these swings. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you aggregate across a range of polls, then so far, no candidate apart from Biden *really* seems to have made a lot of headway among African-Americans. And that's reflected in his fairly clear and consistent lead in SC, where sample sizes among black voters are a lot larger. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 29, 2019 Hibernated