Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Mon Sep 23 18:50:28 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While some candidates have their own "Candidate X or bust" factions, they aren't all that large. Sanders is just barely polling above the 15% delegate threshold. Buttigieg and Yang have their own enthusiastic constituencies, but they're small; 3-5% of the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One take of mine that isn't looking so hot right now is having thought, six months ago or so, that there was a decent chance of a contested convention with a factional vote divided several ways. Instead, Democratic voters have gravitated toward a smaller number of candidates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 23, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah there's no reason to stick to state boundaries when drawing up these regions. Quite a few states (PA, TX, FL, MO, VA are among the most obvious) really belong in multiple regions depending on which part of the state we're talking about. — PolitiTweet.org

The yellow states should be cut in half, with their eastern halves attached to the state directly to their east, th… https://t.co/qiIvcP62NA

Posted Sept. 23, 2019 Hibernated