Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Sun Sep 22 00:09:57 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think Sanders's low numbers are the biggest surprise/story out of this poll. In 3 post-debate Iowa polls, he's at 9%, 16%, and now 11%. In a state where he got ~50% of the vote last time and that should really play to his strengths. https://t.co/1DIe05f3aX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

LOL, actual DMR/Selzer poll was *very* close to my guesses except I way overestimated Bernie. Here are their numbers: Warren 22 Biden 20 Sanders 11 Buttigieg 9 Harris 6 Booker 3 Klobuchar 3 Gabbard 2 O'Rourke 2 Steyer 2 Yang 2 Castro 1 Delaney 1 https://t.co/c8zeifMmaV — PolitiTweet.org

Here are my completely random guesses on what tomorrow's DMR/Selzer Iowa poll will say: Warren 23 Biden 20 Sanders… https://t.co/xEjHR7j87h

Posted Sept. 22, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sanders' favorables are poor in this poll also, with 37% of voters having an unfavorable view of him (vs 29% for Biden and 18% for Warren). Again, this poll isn't a big outlier; his numbers have been mediocre in IA throughout the campaign. Something's not working for him there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2019 Hibernated