Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Sep 18 16:00:11 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshrobin Also, if you're looking at how Clinton performed versus a "generic Democrat", it seems relevant that she did very well with African-Americans in the Democratic caucuses, but that she struggled with noncollege whites in ways that foreshadowed her general election problems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I dunno but IMO, non-college whites flipping to Trump in the Midwest was a bigger cause of why he won the Electoral College than black turnout, especially given that black turnout was reasonably high for Clinton relative to non-Obama candidates. — PolitiTweet.org

btw the electability punditry should better acknowledge media's own role here. bc part of the reason the word now m… https://t.co/po0LMM4RqI

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(Along similar lines, if you want to argue that "electability" arguments should favor candidates who are strong among noncollege whites *and* black voters, that tends to *improve* Biden's electability case, since those are his two real strengths in the primary.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 18, 2019 Hibernated