Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Mon Sep 16 12:46:14 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A year later, the best guess on the electoral impact of Kavanaugh is something like: * Probably helped the GOP in a couple of Senate races in very red states * Probably hurt them in suburban House swing seats * Probably makes life harder for Collins & Gardner next year — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm pretty sure that if you lined up how favorable/unfavorable media coverage has been for each major Democratic candidate so far, it would be almost perfectly correlated with which candidates appeal to college-educated vs non-college voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take: As the media becomes more culturally and demographically adjacent to the Democratic base (e.g. because both the media and the D base are urban and college-educated), the GOP base will appear more exotic to it, which will tend to lead the media to overrate its potency. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated