Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Sep 12 15:52:55 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias @Ipsos People are overconfident about their predictive abilities and/or bad at probabilities? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Ipsos Here was the average response: Biden: 68% chance to beat Trump Bernie: 56% Warren: 51% Harris: 40% Beto: 34% Buttigieg: 33% Booker: 32% Castro: 25% Klobuchar: 23% Yang: 23% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Ipsos Klobuchar probably has one of the best electability arguments in the field, so the fact that she's tied for last here is a sign that voters don't really think about electability in the same way that political analysts do. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2019 Hibernated