Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Aug 28 18:32:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Failure to publish "outliers" yields cases like this in Australia, where polls that showed the right result were never published. Pollster herding is a way bigger problem than the occasional outlier. https://t.co/09bxyMTI78 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Disagree with this. Pollsters ought to publish their "outliers" unless literally they think there's a bug in how their results were collected or processed. Kudos to @MonmouthPoll for publishing a poll that they knew was probably going to differ from other results. — PolitiTweet.org

I appreciate this statement acknowledging @MonmouthPoll was an outlier. But I disagree with "In the end we must p… https://t.co/1Iy3exghW3

Posted Aug. 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, of course, there wasn't much excuse for the media to focus so much on that one n=298 Monmouth poll, which contradicted other data. Lots of blame to go around there. But two wrongs (the media overhyping individual polls and pollsters file-drawering polls) don't make a right. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 28, 2019 Hibernated