Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Tue Aug 20 15:26:33 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason is likely because in the regular season, teams take their foot off the gas pedal with big leads. Thus, average victory margin understates team strength to some extent. (This is a well-known phenomenon.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a *very* geeky NBA finding: We find that the correct Pythagorean exponent (how you translate points scored & allowed into a projected winning percentage) is different in the regular season (14.3 since the introduction of the 3-point line) and the playoffs (13.2). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But people haven't studied this as much in the playoffs. In the playoffs, these score effects are only about ½ as large (teams don't let up as much), it turns out, which yields wider victory margins, holding team quality constant. The lower Pythagorean exponent accounts for this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 20, 2019 Hibernated