Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Mon Aug 19 15:21:11 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AJentleson @jbview I think that might reflect hindsight bias. A contemporaneous assessment of his positions across a number of issues found him to be relatively (compared to previous GOP nominees) moderate: https://t.co/mTOy5pEVpg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AJentleson @jbview Keep in mind: This is based on what a voter would have reasonably been able to infer in November 2016, not how he's governed since. If he'd ran on a Paul Ryan type economic agenda—which he's more or less what he's implemented—I'm not sure he would have won. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AJentleson @jbview OK, but that's not how the median voter thought about him, per polls. And he needed a lot of those median voters to vote for him because his base alone isn't big enough to win, even with the advantages it gave him in the Electoral College. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 19, 2019 Hibernated