Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Aug 07 16:41:14 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a comparison between 2004 (Bush/Kerry) and 2018 (Cruz/Beto). Democrats gained ground among both whites *and* Hispanics, but the gains among Hispanics are larger. Whites: R+ 49 (2004); R+32 (2018) Hispanics: D+1 (2004) D +29 (2018) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

#Actually, Hispanics* are a pretty huge part of the story about how Texas has become more purple and it's weird that I'm seeing punditry to the contrary! * Asian and "other" or mixed-race voters also an important part of the story, but we'll leave that aside for now. — PolitiTweet.org

Yep. The key shift here isn’t that Texas is becoming more Hispanic, but that it is becoming more suburban—and Trump… https://t.co/iCnaCVmcHF

Posted Aug. 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, Hispanics have grown from 20% of the electorate in 2004 to 26% in 2018. They're still underperforming in comparison to their share of the voting-eligible population, but that's helped Democrats too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 7, 2019 Hibernated