Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Jul 31 14:09:22 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) Don't assume that The Party Decides / party elites will save the day 4) Recognize that having disproportionate media attention is a hugely powerful advantage in a multi-candidate field — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To me, the most important lessons from Trump winning the GOP primaries are: 1) Don't dismiss racism/xenophobia/nationalism as a motivating force for voters (at least GOP voters) 2) *Don't* be so dismissive of early polling leads (since Trump led in polls from July 2015 onwards) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you want to add 5) Celebrity in non-politics fields can translate reasonably well to politics, I guess that's fine, but it's not as robust as the others IMO. But people forget that Trump led in GOP polls wire-to-wire; the question is why people (including me) ignored that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated