Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Jul 31 13:48:12 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart @conorsen I don't think Williamson, polling at 1%, belongs in the same category at Trump, who was polling at 20% within a month of entering and was an order of magnitude or two more famous and much more adjacent to politics his whole career. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Also a Trump-winning-in-2016-means-the-craziest-possible-thing-will-always-happen-from-now-on! bias — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To me, the most important lessons from Trump winning the GOP primaries are: 1) Don't dismiss racism/xenophobia/nationalism as a motivating force for voters (at least GOP voters) 2) *Don't* be so dismissive of early polling leads (since Trump led in polls from July 2015 onwards) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2019 Hibernated