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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Sun Jul 28 20:14:54 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not clear how successful. Trump had a 38% favorability rating on Election Day 2016, per the exit poll, much worse than Mitt Romney's 48% in 2012. But Hillary was at 43% as compared to Obama's 53%. His success came mostly from running vs. a candidate almost as unpopular as he was. — PolitiTweet.org

Gabriel Sherman @gabrielsherman

Trump ran this strategy successfully in 2016. Trump advisers told me how thrilled they were by Hillary‘s “deplorables” speech. 2/

Posted July 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Twitter is it's own bubble, but it's a bigger bubble than the DC cocktail party circuit, and I find it pretty enjoyable when people from that scene (or NYC equivalent) are forced to reckon with it and can't handle an environment where their social status doesn't buy them respect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sure, the story is more complicated than that. Clinton's low favorability rating is not exogenous from Trump's strategy. Also, the Electoral College obviously mattered a lot and gives greater influence to white working-class voters and strategies that cater to them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2019 Hibernated