Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Thu Jul 25 13:49:10 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ehh, Morning Consult, which has much larger sample sizes, also shows Trump underperforming, or at least performing mediocrely, in the Midwestern swing states, including being -4 in Ohio and -8 in Iowa. https://t.co/kNDUpuq4PJ — PolitiTweet.org

The exits put Trump approval in Ohio at 53/46. The GOP won the US House vote and the governorship. And polls gener… https://t.co/9uorpoYnAn

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think you should engage in overly precise Electoral College analysis at this point (WAY too early) but if you ARE going to do it (don't), seems important to note some candidates (Biden, sometimes Bernie) are polling way better than other D's in white working-class states. https://t.co/5lO44GzXgS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It just seems like there's a lot of ambiguity around your hypothesis, which of course there there is because it's 16 months until the election, and we don't know who the D nominee will be, or what turnout will look like, and you're determined to cherry-pick your way around it. — PolitiTweet.org

Morning Consult is Trump's worst pollster right now, with a 40% approval among RVs. They also don't have state-by-s… https://t.co/Du88eFfVIs

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated