Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Sat Jul 20 16:29:37 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen p.s. A lot depends on TX and FL. The best case for pessimism for D Electoral College math is that TX is still a cycle or 2 away from being a tipping-point state, though it will be eventually. And that FL, despite being a state where demographic change should help Ds, is weird. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically, I think Clinton 2016 was probably close (maybe not exactly *at*) the local minimum for D's. So a coalition that *either* "turned back the clock" (Biden?) *or* turboboosted demographic change (Harris/Castro?) could be better than Clinton 16, which was stuck in between. https://t.co/yWkWsLCjYt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I think it's kind of BS to lean really heavily into a particular takeaway in top 80 percent of the article, not to mention the headline/lead/social promotion/etc., and then to introduce the caveats in (literally!!) the 42nd paragraph. — PolitiTweet.org

This is fair, in the sense the map can/will obviously change between now and election night '20 It is unfair in a… https://t.co/qD1N95wpsO

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated