Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Tue Jul 16 16:12:16 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ellawinthrop: .@juruwolfe and @zubakskees are back at it on campaign finance https://t.co/oy4IDrROWb https://t.co/AnxqkmW0it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2019 Retweet Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Way better poll for Bernie than yesterday, obviously. Average of the 3 most recent New Hampshire polls: Biden - 21% Warren - 19% Sanders - 16% Harris - 14% Buttigieg - 12% — PolitiTweet.org

breaking -- New CNN/UNH poll likely NH Dem primary voters July 8-15 Biden 24% Sanders/Warren each at 19% Butt… https://t.co/k36aDjMvQu

Posted July 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gelliottmorris @RachelBitecofer @BayesReality Our model had like a 25% chance (!) of Trump winning the electoral college *conditional upon losing the popular vote by 2 points*! Not really very unlikely at all, you just had to have a good model. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2019 Hibernated