Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Wed Jul 03 01:36:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

BUT: it's worth noting that Harris and Warren were regarded as pretty serious candidates before their rise in the polls, based on their accomplishments, favorability ratings, support from party elites, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mostly agree with this, and also one lesson from previous primaries is that sometimes (fairly often, in fact) a candidate who you think has infinite momentum is in fact near their peak and you're buying at the top. — PolitiTweet.org

Today, it is easy to think Harris/Warren are unstoppable and Biden is doomed. It coudl turn out that way. It could… https://t.co/aGP9cj2zcK

Posted July 3, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So are there going to be further "surprises" in the primary? Almost certainly. But it would be a much *bigger* surprise if, say, Marianne Williamson surged than if Cory Booker or one of the other candidates with sound fundamentals (Klobuchar? Castro?) did. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2019 Hibernated