Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 19, 2020

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Tue Jul 02 16:17:32 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

After thinking about this more and also seeing more polls, here's basically how I see the race right now. As the chart says, don't take this too seriously, it's gonna be a while before any of this is generated by a model or anything. But I want to be transparent in my thinking. https://t.co/MabP5nq7kZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I think... maybe yeah? A huge fraction of voters in the abstract say a candidate 75+ is a problem for them. So the prior is that it should have some effect. And it's interesting that it's top-of-mind for people in an open-ended question after the debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Polling of Hispanic voters before/after the debate. Good news for Harris and Castro here. That Buttigieg number is 😬. https://t.co/CxFeB7R26w https://t.co/f2ttqSThd1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2019 Hibernated