Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 6, 2020

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Tue Jun 18 20:40:21 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whatever you think of them, the better election forecasting websites have a *much* better (though hardly perfect obviously) track record than traditional pundits, which is a decent argument in favor of a more empirical as compared to insider/narrative-driven view of politics. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Forecasting is a useful (though not the only) way to tell whether or not we (in the media) are full of shit, which would seem to be helpful in diagnosing how effective we are at informing the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 @jayrosen_nyu @gdavismath @joshmccrain I don't know, Nate. I presumed and hoped our mission and reas… https://t.co/7YOYaRsWX1

Posted June 18, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Over the long run, polling accuracy in recent elections is about the same as it's always been, and 2018 was one of the most accurate elections for polls ever. https://t.co/tBrVTRYiDI — PolitiTweet.org

Pres. Trump’s 2020 campaign manager @parscale tells @MajorCBS the country is “too complex now” for polls to be reli… https://t.co/O11eHohHoa

Posted June 18, 2019 Hibernated