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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 5, 2020

Created

Sun Jun 16 12:57:13 +0000 2019

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1,177

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81

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It wouldn't work if your polls *never* had a good year, but polling is hard and sometimes polls that have a crappy methodology are gonna get lucky. Meanwhile being "the pollster that always has good news for [insert party]" will win you an audience among partisans. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

TBH, not a bad racket to have polls that are consistently skewed toward the GOP. Maybe once per 3 or 4 elections (2016), R's beat their polls, you look like geniuses. The rest of the time, your polls suck, but you BS your way thru it & criticize people who evaluate poll accuracy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd say two meaningful differences are that Warren is a Democrat, which is probably really helpful in the context of trying to win the *Democratic* nomination, and isn't 77 years old, which is something that voters express a ton of concern about. — PolitiTweet.org

Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

Obviously true except for the part about the differences being meaningful https://t.co/7y5XpyzGcc

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated

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