Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 5, 2020

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Thu Jun 13 02:04:03 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be fair it's tricky because if you assume that primaries are 100% predictable based on polls, then Biden wins, but if you assume that primaries are totally unpredictable, then Bernie has like a 1/23 chance but it's the same as Bill de Blasio or whatever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

SandersBrothers can't seem to decide if they should tout how good their polling is or claim that polls are unreliable and should be ignored. — PolitiTweet.org

lol where we are https://t.co/vn3rLYHtBI

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

SandersBrothers should therefore embrace the sort of probabilistic thinking espoused by 538, which aptly assesses that he's among the stronger candidates but not the favorite, and that everyone but **maybe** Biden is inherently something of a longshot with 23 runners in the race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated