Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Wed Jun 12 13:44:01 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin It's June 2019. Campaigns' strategies for which states to compete in next November mean basically nothing right now. And if we don't know what those polls actually said, it's hard to know how much they're driving Trump's behavior, which is famously erratic anyway. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably also worth remembering that news orgs like NYT put a lot of stock in vague reports about Clinton's rosy internal polls in the closing stages of the 2016 campaign, leading them to ignore public polls showing the race tightening after Comey, etc. https://t.co/tyIZ8cJb5p — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin Huh? We spend *very* little time talking about general election strategy or polling right now, it's maybe 5 percent of what we cover. Primary polls *are* empirically somewhat meaningful at this stage so we spend more time on those. Other news orgs should follow our lead TBH. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated