Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Thu May 16 17:16:16 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the context of Jan., where Bernie is polling at ~20% and maybe you can pretend Biden doesn't exist?, it makes more sense. But Sanders backers, with their allergy to coalition-building, have never had a good plan for how to get beyond ~25-30%. And now he's backslid to ~16%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For instance, in this fascinating article from January, @sunraysunray doesn't trust that Warren is liked by "mainstream Democratic Party policy types". Actually, that's a HUGE ASSET for her! Building a coalition is how nominations are usually won. https://t.co/yckzSb6fB4 https://t.co/YVSp92RiiB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

p.s. It's quite relevant that D delegate allocation rules are highly proportional, and that you need a majority (not plurality) of delegates to win on the 1st ballot. The rules are deliberately designed to reward coalition-building and punish "win the largest faction" strategies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated