Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2020

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Thu May 16 12:12:36 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also in today's column, I did a quick-and-dirty thing where I tried to estimate the importance of candidate quality in Senate races. https://t.co/uecicst17y https://t.co/50hHClCkSS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My working theory is that the sheer number of candidates running is helpful on balance to the big name brands (Biden especially, probably Bernie, maybe Warren, Harris) and really unhelpful to the well-credentialed candidates in the next tier down (e.g. Booker, Klobuchar, Castro). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A very good candidate (someone like Bullock would probably qualify as an ex-governor) might be something like 6-8 points better than an average candidate. That's a lot but... still probably not enough in a state like Montana. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 16, 2019 Hibernated