Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 27, 2020

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Fri May 10 16:46:24 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The thing that does distinguish Harris and Warren is that they form a more obvious contrast to the frontrunner, Biden. Beto probably needs Biden to falter, whereas they could conceivably consolidate enough of the non-Biden vote to take him on one-on-one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I personally think Warren and (especially) Harris are more likely to emerge out of the pack, for instance. But Warren, Harris and Beto are polling fairly similarly, and they each have their own mix of assets and liabilities, so that conclusion involves a fair amount of guesswork. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson It just seems unlikely to me that you could have a 2-way race between any two of the white guys (including Bernie) without the party going through a fair number of gyrations to avoid that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2019 Hibernated