Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 27, 2020

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Tue May 07 14:01:18 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The big mistake everyone made was to overestimate what share of Bernie's vote in 2016 (43%) reflected people on the left rather than some combination of i) the left, ii) the #NeverHillary vote, and iii) people behind him for personality, identity or other nonideological reasons. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's interesting with Harris is that black Democrats tend to be more moderate than white ones. (Corrolary: the left is pretty white.) Maybe she'd have been better off positioning herself as more moderate. (Although, still plenty of time to do that.) — PolitiTweet.org

Harris (& others) likely overshot trying to win Bernie voters, didn’t need to go M4A, GND, etc; other bubbles (Beto… https://t.co/IWLXI…

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure we're disagreeing. If you define the left as "people who thought Hillary Clinton wasn't liberal enough", it was about 25% of the D primary electorate in 2016. But the D mainstream is pretty liberal, in part because it co-opted some of Bernie's most popular ideas! — PolitiTweet.org

I'd argue differently: Bernie's vote actually ran *behind* support for his agenda among Democratic voters. What's… https://t.co/WmWOe38Cds

Posted May 7, 2019 Hibernated