Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 27, 2020

Created

Fri May 03 14:34:22 +0000 2019

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So you're really banking on making up a LOT of ground on Bernie being closer to the center of the Democratic electorate on policy, which it's not clear he is, or voters agreeing with his institutional critique of the Democratic Party, which most Democrats won't. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Like it or not, "identity" (race, age, gender) is a major aspect of what people vote on. And you're probably not going to persuade many voters to back Bernie over Biden on the basis of electability or "leadership" (since Biden was VP); those are disadvantages for you, in fact. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's early and Biden's post-annoucement polling bounce will probably fade. But it's formidable enough that it maybe ought to prompt some reassessments of strategy. Bernie is limited in the number of arguments he can make vs. Biden when another candidate of the left might not be. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2019 Hibernated